The OECD International Migration Outlook analyses recent developments in migration movements and policies in OECD countries (and some non-member countries), as well as the evolution of the labour market outcomes of migrants. This 2020 edition finds that the COVID-19 pandemic has put migration and progress on integration at risk and disproportionately affects migrants and their children.
Migration itself has decreased significantly since the outbreak of COVID-19, with adverse effects on countries of both origin and destination. The report finds that it is essential governments do not stop spending on integration, to ensure migrants continue to contribute to society and the economy.
In the future, migration, integration and inclusion policies will be key to ensuring strong social and economic recovery, on both an international and national scale. OECD Secretary-General Angel Gurría, launching the report with European Commissioner for Home Affairs Ylva Johansson, said:
'Migration will continue to play an important role for economic growth and innovation, as well as in responding to rapidly changing labour markets... We need to avoid rolling back on integration and reaffirm that migration is an integral part of our lives.'
How has COVID-19 changed processes of migration and integration?
Before the crisis, permanent migration flows to the OECD reached 5.3 million in 2019, with similar figures in 2017 and 2018. Although refugee admissions fell overall in 2019, permanent labour migration saw a rise of more than 13% and temporary labour migration saw more than 5 million entries to the OECD. Now, many developments in integration and some migration flows may be erased altogether by the economic fallout of the pandemic.
Following the COVID-19 outbreak, almost all OECD countries restricted admission to foreigners. This led to issuances of new visas and permits in OECD countries plummeting by 46% in the first half of 2020: the largest drop ever recorded. In the second quarter of 2020, this decline stood at 72%.
Migrant essential workers
Migrant workers have been on the frontline of the crisis:
- 25% of medical doctors in the OECD are migrants;
- One in six nurses in the OECD are migrants;
- Migrants constitute more than a third of the OECD workforce in the key sectors of transport, cleaning, food manufacturing and IT services.
As a result of this prevalence on the frontline, migrants make up one of the groups most exposed to the virus: studies in a number of OECD countries have found the risk of infection to be at least twice as high for migrants as it is for native-born citizens.
According to the report, the pandemic has served to undo much of the progress made in migrant employment during the last decade. Despite their essential contribution in many sectors, migrants worldwide are now experiencing real employment difficulty. OECD research found that:
- migrant unemployment rose most sharply in Canada, Norway, Spain, Sweden and the United States;
- in Sweden, migrants made up almost 60% of the initial increase in COVID-19 related unemployment;
- in the United States, unemployment among migrants was initially 1% lower than among native-born citizens, but following the pandemic is 2% higher.
Migrants and their children
- Due to a range of vulnerabilities such as higher incidence of poverty, overcrowded housing conditions, and high concentration in jobs where physical distancing is difficult, migrants are at a much higher risk of COVID19 infection than native-born citizens. The following graph shows the share of countries' employed populations that can work from home, by place of birth:
Source: OECD calculations based on Basso et al (2020[6]), The new hazardous jobs and worker reallocation.
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COVID-related mortality rates for migrants could also be significant, exceeding those of the native-born population;
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Migrants are in a more vulnerable position in the labour market due to less stable employment conditions and lower seniority;
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Studies suggest that discrimination strongly increases in times of a slack labour market, while networks of contacts – of which migrants have fewer – become more relevant for finding a job;
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The negative impact on migrants’ labour market outcomes is increased by strong overrepresentation in sectors most affected by the pandemic, eg. in the hospitality industry, 25% of employees in the EU are foreign-born (twice their share in overall employment);
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Early evidence on the initial impact of the pandemic shows a disproportionately negative toll on migrants in the vast majority of countries, especially in the Southern European countries, Ireland, Norway, Sweden and the United States;
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School closures and distance learning measures put children of migrants at a disadvantage: they tend to have access to fewer resources than native-born students (such as a computer, an internet connection or a quiet place to study), and 40% of native-born children of migrants do not speak the host-country language at home;
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Online learning is difficult for those migrants who are low-educated, especially at early stages of language learning, which causes delays in both practical language learning and broader social integration;
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In light of growing unemployment and the role of international travel in the initial spread of the pandemic, there is a risk of a backlash in public opinion against immigrants.
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